This week, the US $ fell to a level of just over $2 per British Pound. In fact the US $ has been falling against a number of world currencies over the past few years. Under a falling $, US exports become more competitive in world markets. As Secretary of Treasury Paulson hasn't done much to stop its fall, many investors are starting to believe that a declining $ is now policy.
Is it a reaction to other world economies having greater GDP growth than the US? Is it a policy being implemented to decrease the size of imports coming into the US?
No matter your view on those questions, the simple fact is that a lower US $ is not a good thing when you consider the nation's sizeable trade and budget deficits, that are being largely financed with other nation's investments. As the US $ continues to fall, if these deficits aren't reduced, interest rates will be forced to rise in order to continue to attract those foreign countries that have now become America's banker.
Wednesday, April 18, 2007
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